⚠️ CRITICAL SECURITY ENVIRONMENT: The USA faces an unprecedented multi-vector threat environment: 9,354 antisemitic incidents in 2024 (record high, +893% over 10 years), multiple fatal attacks in 2025 (Capital Jewish Museum: 2 killed; Boulder: 1 killed, 15 injured), and systemic gun accessibility via Second Amendment that fundamentally distinguishes US risk profile from peer nations.
Seven Pillar Summary
| # |
Pillar |
Weight |
Score |
Assessment |
| P1 |
Legal & Government Framework |
10% |
52 |
Moderate – Strong civil rights; 2A limits gun control |
| P2 |
Security Infrastructure |
10% |
74 |
Strong – SCN network; $454M+ federal funding |
| P3 |
Criminal Justice Outcomes |
10% |
55 |
Moderate – DOJ Task Force; significant data gaps |
| P4 |
Threat Environment |
18% |
12 |
CRITICAL – Record incidents; multiple 2025 attacks; gun access |
| P5 |
Movement Ecosystem NEW |
15% |
32 |
Concerning – SJP active; HuT legal; mass protests |
| P6 |
Cultural & Societal Climate NEW |
15% |
55 |
Moderate – BDS activity offset by heritage recognition |
| P7 |
Lived Experience & Community Voice |
22% |
32 |
Critical – 55% experienced antisemitism; 34% hiding identity |
✓ CRITICAL STRENGTHS
- Largest diaspora: 7.5-7.7M Jews with robust institutions
- Security Investment: $454.5M FY2024 NSGP; record funding
- SCN Network: National Jewish Security Operations Command
- Strong civil rights: 1st & 14th Amendment protections
- Terror bans: Hamas/Hezbollah FTO since 1997
- DOJ Task Force: Antisemitism task force Feb 2025
- Political representation: Strong Cabinet, Congress presence
✗ CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES
- Constitutional gun access: 2nd Amendment; 393M+ firearms
- Multiple 2025 attacks: DC (2 killed); Boulder (1 killed, 15 injured)
- Record incidents: 9,354 in 2024 (+893% over 10 years)
- Campus crisis: 1,694 incidents (+84%); encampments
- No Holocaust denial ban: 1st Amendment protects
- Multi-vector threats: ISIS, white supremacist, pro-Hamas
- Community distress: 55% experienced antisemitism
JCSI v1.2 FORMULA: (P1×0.10) + (P2×0.10) + (P3×0.10) + (P4×0.18) + (P5×0.15) + (P6×0.15) + (P7×0.22) = 39/100 CRITICAL
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| National hate crime legislation exists |
18 U.S.C. § 249 (Shepard-Byrd Act); covers religion |
80 |
Federal Law |
| Antisemitism legally defined |
IHRA adopted by executive order (varies by admin) |
55 |
Executive Order |
| Holocaust denial criminalized |
Not criminalized – 1st Amendment protection |
0 |
Constitutional |
| Sentence enhancement for hate crimes |
Federal & most state laws; variable application |
70 |
State/Federal |
| Protection for religious sites |
Church Arson Prevention Act; RFRA framework |
75 |
Federal Law |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| National antisemitism coordinator/envoy |
Antisemitism Envoy (Lipstadt 2022-25; position renewal TBD) |
60 |
State Dept |
| Official action plan against antisemitism |
National Strategy (May 2023); 100+ commitments |
70 |
White House |
| Parliamentary/legislative committee |
House Task Force; Senate attention varies |
55 |
Congress |
| Regular government reporting |
FBI HCSA annual; State TIP; data gaps |
50 |
FBI/DOJ |
| Official liaison with Jewish community |
White House Jewish Liaison; Cabinet access |
75 |
White House |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Gun accessibility restrictions |
2nd Amendment right; 393M+ civilian firearms |
5 |
Constitutional |
| Assault weapons regulation |
No federal ban (expired 2004); state varies |
15 |
Federal/State |
| Background check effectiveness |
NICS; private sale loophole in many states |
25 |
ATF |
| Red flag law coverage |
21 states + DC; 29 states lack ERPOs |
30 |
State Laws |
⚡ US-SPECIFIC: Gun Control Differential
The USA's constitutional gun accessibility fundamentally distinguishes its threat profile from all peer nations. While UK, Australia, France, and Germany score 90-100 on gun control, the USA's score of 12/100 creates a systemic vulnerability enabling mass casualty attacks (Pittsburgh 2018: 11 killed; Poway 2019: 1 killed; Boulder 2025: 1 killed, 15 injured).
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Hamas designated as terrorist org |
FTO since 1997; asset freezes active |
100 |
State Dept |
| Hezbollah fully designated |
Full designation since 1997 |
100 |
State Dept |
| Hizb ut-Tahrir designated |
Legal status; 1st Amendment protection |
0 |
Constitutional |
| IRGC designated |
FTO since 2019 |
100 |
State Dept |
PILLAR 1 CALCULATION: (55×0.25) + (55×0.40) + (12×0.20) + (70×0.15) = 52/100
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Dedicated security funding (per capita) |
$454.5M NSGP FY2024 + state supplements (CA $160M, NY $109M) |
90 |
DHS/FEMA |
| Police presence at sites |
Varies by jurisdiction; major metro High Holidays deployment |
70 |
Local PD |
| Physical hardening support |
NSGP covers guards, barriers, cameras, access control |
85 |
DHS |
| Armed protection availability |
Extensive private security; SCN coordination |
80 |
SCN |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| National security organization exists |
SCN (Secure Community Network) since 2004 |
100 |
SCN |
| Real-time threat intelligence |
NJSOC – only faith-based entity with direct FBI/NTOC link |
95 |
SCN/FBI |
| Professional staff & resources |
75+ employees; regional directors nationwide |
85 |
SCN |
| Training programs offered |
6,000+ trainings/year; active shooter; threat recognition |
90 |
SCN |
| Community coverage |
146 Federations; varying local capacity |
65 |
JFNA |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Joint threat assessment mechanism |
FBI-SCN partnership; Fusion Center access varies |
70 |
FBI/DHS |
| Incident reporting system |
ADL H.E.A.T. Map; FBI reporting fragmented |
55 |
ADL/FBI |
| Emergency response protocols |
Established but variable by jurisdiction |
60 |
Local/Federal |
PILLAR 2 CALCULATION: (82×0.40) + (80×0.35) + (60×0.25) = 74/100
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Hate crime prosecution rate |
Limited federal prosecutions; DOJ Task Force Feb 2025 |
50 |
DOJ |
| Specialized hate crime units |
FBI Civil Rights; major cities have units |
60 |
FBI/Local |
| Clearance rate for antisemitic crimes |
Limited data; varies widely by jurisdiction |
45 |
FBI UCR |
| Quality of evidence collection |
Variable; training gaps in some jurisdictions |
55 |
DOJ |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Mandatory hate crime reporting |
Voluntary until 2022 (Jabara-Heyer Act); gaps remain |
50 |
FBI/DOJ |
| Data disaggregation (religion) |
FBI HCSA tracks Jewish-targeted; 1,832 (2023) |
60 |
FBI HCSA |
| Agency participation rate |
~15,000 agencies; significant non-participation |
45 |
FBI |
| Timeliness of data publication |
12-18 month lag on FBI data |
40 |
FBI |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Appropriate sentencing patterns |
Bowers: 63 life terms + death; variable otherwise |
60 |
Court Records |
| Hate crime enhancements applied |
Available; application varies by state/judge |
55 |
State Courts |
| Victim support in proceedings |
Federal CVRA; state victim assistance varies |
55 |
DOJ/States |
PILLAR 3 CALCULATION: (55×0.40) + (52×0.35) + (58×0.25) = 55/100
🚨 CRITICAL: The USA faces an unprecedented multi-vector threat environment with record antisemitic incidents, multiple fatal attacks in 2025, and systemic gun accessibility that fundamentally distinguishes US risk from peer nations.
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Mass casualty attacks (5 years) |
Pittsburgh 2018 (11); Poway 2019 (1); Jersey City 2019 (3); Boulder 2025 (1) |
5 |
FBI/Media |
| 2025 fatal attacks |
Capital Jewish Museum (2 killed); Boulder (1 killed, 15 injured) |
5 |
FBI/SCN |
| Physical assault rate |
150 assaults (2024) – 220% increase from 2023 |
15 |
ADL |
| Weapons accessibility |
393M+ civilian firearms; 2nd Amendment protection |
5 |
ATF/CDC |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Total incidents (most recent year) |
9,354 (2024) – RECORD HIGH; 25+ per day |
5 |
ADL |
| Year-over-year trend |
+59% (2023-24); +893% over 10 years |
5 |
ADL |
| Post-Oct 7 surge |
+360% in weeks following Oct 7, 2023 |
10 |
ADL |
| Campus incidents |
1,694 (+84% YoY); 34% hiding Jewish identity |
10 |
ADL/Hillel |
| Israel-motivation factor |
58% linked to Israel/Zionism – first time majority |
15 |
ADL |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Active terror threats (Islamist) |
ISIS-inspired plots; Hamas calls; elevated since Oct 7 |
15 |
FBI/NCTC |
| White supremacist threat |
Active networks; Pittsburgh-style threat ongoing |
15 |
FBI/DHS |
| Online radicalization |
Active recruitment; encrypted channels |
20 |
ADL/SPLC |
| Foiled plots (recent) |
Multiple arrests 2024-25; NYC, Texas, others |
25 |
FBI |
PILLAR 4 CALCULATION: (8×0.40) + (10×0.35) + (18×0.25) = 12/100
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Hizb ut-Tahrir activity |
Legal; active chapters; "Global Intifada" events |
20 |
HuT/Media |
| Muslim Brotherhood networks |
Affiliated organizations; CAIR, MAS connections |
35 |
Research |
| Pro-Hamas activity |
Widespread post-Oct 7; "Glory to the Martyrs" |
25 |
ADL/Media |
| Caliphate advocacy groups |
HuT legal; speakers at universities |
30 |
HuT Events |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Students for Justice in Palestine |
200+ chapters; encampment organizers; some terrorism ties |
20 |
NGO Monitor |
| Jewish Voice for Peace (anti-Zionist) |
Active nationally; occupations; some extremist ties |
35 |
Research |
| Within Our Lifetime/radical groups |
"Globalize the Intifada"; NYC-based; violence rhetoric |
15 |
ADL |
| Encampment activity |
40+ university encampments Spring 2024; violence incidents |
25 |
University/Media |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| White supremacist organizations |
Active nationally; propaganda distribution up 12% |
25 |
ADL/SPLC |
| Neo-Nazi activity |
NSM, Patriot Front, others; demonstrations |
30 |
SPLC |
| Conspiracy theory mainstreaming |
QAnon, "Great Replacement" – elevated reach |
40 |
Research |
| Online extremist communities |
Telegram, 4chan, encrypted – active recruitment |
30 |
ISD/ADL |
PILLAR 5 CALCULATION: (35×0.40) + (28×0.35) + (35×0.25) = 32/100
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Official condemnation of antisemitism |
Presidential statements; bipartisan; some delayed response |
70 |
White House |
| Political figure statements |
Some problematic; MTG/Omar controversies |
45 |
Congressional |
| Media coverage quality |
Mixed; some normalization of antisemitic tropes |
50 |
Media Analysis |
| Academic discourse climate |
Problematic; Congress hearings; president resignations |
40 |
Congress/Media |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Government anti-BDS measures |
38 states with anti-boycott laws |
80 |
State Laws |
| Campus BDS resolutions |
Multiple passed; divest pressure increasing |
35 |
Universities |
| Corporate boycott campaigns |
Active targeting; some business impact |
40 |
ADL/Media |
| Local government BDS |
Some municipal resolutions; limited impact |
55 |
Local Gov |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| Official heritage recognition |
Jewish American Heritage Month (May); White House Hanukkah |
85 |
Federal |
| Holocaust education mandate |
24 states require; no federal mandate |
55 |
State Laws |
| Museum & memorial support |
USHMM federal funding; state/local memorials |
75 |
Federal |
| Interfaith relations |
Generally positive; some strain post-Oct 7 |
50 |
Community |
PILLAR 6 CALCULATION: (55×0.40) + (50×0.30) + (60×0.30) = 55/100
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| % hiding Jewish identity |
34% hiding always/sometimes; 52% among young adults |
20 |
ADL 2024-25 |
| % avoiding Jewish events/locations |
45% avoiding; 63% campus students avoid |
20 |
ADL/Hillel |
| % fear for physical safety |
68% somewhat/very concerned about safety |
25 |
AJC/ADL |
| % considering emigration |
27% have considered leaving US due to antisemitism |
30 |
ADL Survey |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| % experienced antisemitism (12 mo) |
55% experienced at least one incident |
40 |
ADL 2024-25 |
| % physically harassed/attacked |
18% physical; 26% verbal harassment |
45 |
Community Surveys |
| % experienced exclusion/minimization |
44% experienced |
35 |
ADL 2024-25 |
| Indicator |
Measurement |
Score |
Source |
| General public favorability toward Jews |
19% antisemitic (ADL Global 100) – moderate |
80 |
ADL Global 100 |
| Political representation & access |
Strong – Congress, Cabinet, state officials |
85 |
Government |
| Jewish school enrollment trend |
Stable with security concerns |
55 |
Education |
| Interfaith solidarity demonstrated |
Some strain post-Oct 7; mixed |
50 |
Community Reports |
PILLAR 7 CALCULATION: (25×0.40) + (40×0.35) + (58×0.25) = 32/100
Key Findings
✓ CRITICAL STRENGTHS
- Largest diaspora (7.5-7.7M): Critical mass enables robust institutional infrastructure
- SCN security network: Only faith-based entity with direct FBI/NTOC link; 75+ employees
- Record security funding: $454.5M FY2024 NSGP; state supplements (CA $160M, NY $109M)
- DOJ Task Force: Antisemitism task force established Feb 2025
- Constitutional protections: Strong 1st & 14th Amendment framework
- Terror designations: Hamas/Hezbollah FTO since 1997
- Anti-BDS legislation: 38 states with anti-boycott laws
- Heritage recognition: Jewish Heritage Month; White House Hanukkah
✗ CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES
- Constitutional gun access: 2nd Amendment; 393M+ firearms; no national registry – fundamentally distinguishes US from peer nations
- Multiple 2025 fatal attacks: DC Museum (2 killed); Boulder (1 killed, 15 injured)
- Record incident levels: 9,354 (2024); +893% over 10 years; 25+ per day
- Campus crisis: 1,694 incidents (+84%); 34% hiding identity; 40+ encampments
- No Holocaust denial ban: 1st Amendment protects extremist speech
- Multi-vector threats: ISIS, white supremacist, pro-Hamas – all active
- Community distress: 55% experienced antisemitism; 18% directly harmed
- 58% Israel-related: First time majority tied to Israel/Zionism
Final Score Calculation
JCSI v1.2 FORMULA
JCSI = (P1×0.10) + (P2×0.10) + (P3×0.10) + (P4×0.18) + (P5×0.15) + (P6×0.15) + (P7×0.22)
JCSI = (52×0.10) + (74×0.10) + (55×0.10) + (12×0.18) + (32×0.15) + (55×0.15) + (32×0.22)
JCSI = 5.2 + 7.4 + 5.5 + 2.16 + 4.8 + 8.25 + 7.04 = 39/100
| Score Range |
Classification |
United States |
| 80-100 |
HIGH SAFETY |
|
| 60-79 |
MODERATE SAFETY |
|
| 40-59 |
CONCERNING |
|
| 0-39 |
CRITICAL |
← USA (39) |
v1.0 vs v1.2 Score Comparison
| Component |
v1.0 |
v1.2 |
Change |
| P1: Legal Framework |
55 (15%) |
52 (10%) |
↓3 (new Envoy section) |
| P2: Security |
72 (15%) |
74 (10%) |
↑2 (record funding) |
| P3: Criminal Justice |
55 (15%) |
55 (10%) |
— unchanged |
| P4: Threat Environment |
18 (25%) |
12 (18%) |
↓6 (2025 attacks) |
| P5: Movement Ecosystem |
N/A (context) |
32 (15%) |
NOW SCORED |
| P6: Cultural Climate |
N/A |
55 (15%) |
NEW PILLAR |
| P7: Lived Experience |
42 (20%) |
32 (22%) |
↓10 (ADL survey data) |
| OVERALL JCSI |
44 |
39 |
↓5 points (now CRITICAL) |
USA vs Peer Nation Comparison (v1.2)
| Country |
P1 Legal |
P4 Threat |
Gun Control |
Overall |
| USA |
52 |
12 |
12/100 |
39 (CRITICAL) |
| Australia |
72 |
16 |
94/100 |
44 (CONCERNING) |
| UK |
75 |
28 |
95/100 |
~52 (est.) |
| Germany |
82 |
22 |
90/100 |
~48 (est.) |
Key Differentiator: The USA's constitutional gun accessibility (12/100) creates a fundamentally different risk profile. While other nations can implement gun control post-crisis (e.g., Australia 1996 NFA), the Second Amendment prevents comparable measures in the USA, making mass casualty attacks significantly more likely.